Section 8 Fair Market Rent (FMR) for ZIP 85631 - 2027

Location: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ | Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ MSA

Investment Score for ZIP 85631

B
Monthly Rent (2BR)
$1,380
Median Price (2BR)
$116,866
1% Rule
1.18%
Annual Yield
14.17%

Based on 1% Rule: A+ (≥1.5%) | A (≥1.2%) | B (≥1.0%) | C (≥0.8%) | D (≥0.6%) | F (<0.6%)

FY 2027 Fair Market Rent Rates

Unit Size Monthly FMR
Studio$1,080
1 Bedroom$1,170
2 Bedrooms$1,380
3 Bedrooms$1,870
4 Bedrooms$2,120
5 Bedrooms$2,459
6 Bedrooms$2,754
7 Bedrooms$2,974
8 Bedrooms$3,123

Investment Analysis by Bedroom Size

Zillow median home prices vs Section 8 FMR rates (Data: 2026-08-31)

Bedrooms Monthly FMR Median Price 1% Rule Grade
2BR $1,380 $116,866 1.18% B
3BR $1,870 $164,327 1.14% B

Demographics & Housing Statistics

U.S. Census Bureau data (2024)

Population
3,508
Median Household Income
$48,389
Housing Units
1,612
Renter Percentage
16.0%
Occupancy Rate
97.6%
Renter Occupied
251

The ZIP code 85631, located in San Manuel, Arizona, stands out within Pinal County due to its unique demographic and economic characteristics. With a total population of 3,508 residents, only 16.0% of whom rent their homes, it has a relatively low rental rate compared to other areas. The median income in San Manuel is $48,389, while the median home value sits at $157,663, indicating a stable housing market where homeownership is prevalent.

When examining the voucher economics, the Fair Market Rent (FMR) for ZIP 85631 in fiscal year 2024 is set at $1570, which is significantly higher than the actual market rent of $708 as reported by the Census ACS. This disparity suggests that landlords participating in the Section 8 program can expect to receive a higher rent subsidy than what is typically charged in the local market. As a result, landlords in San Manuel could see an increased profit margin when leasing properties under the Section 8 program.

The data signature for ZIP 85631 indicates a stable environment, characterized by a modest but consistent rental demand and a housing market that leans towards homeownership. The high FMR relative to the market rent also points towards a steady flow of federal funds into the local rental market, supporting both tenants and landlords. Given these factors, San Manuel appears to be a reliable location for small-portfolio investors interested in the Section 8 program.

Data Sources: FMR data from HUD (2027). Median home prices from Zillow (2026-08-31). Demographics from U.S. Census (2024).

About FMR: Fair Market Rent (FMR) is used to determine payment standards for the Section 8 Housing Choice Voucher program, initial renewal rents for some expiring project-based Section 8 contracts, and rent ceilings for HOME Investment Partnerships.